ESB’s free Dota 2 betting predictions focus on a pair of Dota BTS Pro Series Season 11: Southeast Asia bouts on Saturday, May 7. Here are our picks and predictions for RSG vs Motivate.Trust Gaming and Nigma Galaxy SEA vs Lilgun, with top esports betting odds courtesy of Betway.
RSG vs MOTIVATE.TRUST GAMING Dota 2 BETTING & MATCH DETAILS |
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|---|---|
| Best Odds: | RSG $2.03 at Betway | MG.Trust $6.40 at Betway |
| When: | May 7, 2022 | 17:00 SGT |
| Watch Live: | Twitch (https://www.twitch.tv/beyondthesummit) |
RSG (formerly Resurgence) should defeat Motivate.Trust Gaming on Tuesday, but we can’t agree with the online esports betting sites that have MG.Trust priced as $6.40 underdogs. At this price, MG.Trust have an implied probability of winning of just 15.6%, which is considerably lower than expected.
Admittedly, RSG have not been playing poorly of late, but they have yet to win a single match across the opening six, with four draws and two losses (0-4-2).
Motivate.Trust Gaming have hardly been more impressive (0-2-1), but they had played just three games, so it’s hard to make any conclusions. Moreover, MG.Trust forced a draw against the current tournament leaders, Execration and came very close to achieving the same feat against Army Geniuses last weekend.
A draw seems like the most likely outcome, but at $6.40 with the top betting sites, we recommend a smaller position on Motivate.Trust Gaming.
Motivate.Trust to win
NIGMA GALAXY SEA vs LILGUN Dota 2 BETTING & MATCH DETAILS |
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|---|---|
| Best Odds: | NGX.SEA $2.45 at Betway | Lilgun $4.89 at Betway |
| When: | May 7, 2022 | 19:00 SGT |
| Watch Live: | Twitch (https://www.twitch.tv/beyondthesummit) |
Lilgun have yet to win a game, but they have played just two – one defeat against the current leaders, Execration and a draw against Neon Esports. Nigma Galaxy SEA, on the other side, are 1-2-0 with a win against Execration and two draws against RSG and Army Geniuses.
According to those results, Nigma Galaxy seem stronger, but they’re 0-1 in the head-to-head with Lilgun, who won their last meeting in January. What’s more, Nigma Galaxy are not that much better individual talent-wise, nor were they very convincing in their recent outings.
A draw seems like the most likely outcome, and at $2.01, this is a bet we’ll happily take. Alternatively, LIlgun with a +1.5 map handicap ($1.51) is a safer option, albeit at much lower odds.
Draw
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