In contrast to the last stop on the Formula 1 calendar, Monaco, this weekend’s venue, Baku, is a superb venue.
Like the Monaco GP, Baku is a street course and also very narrow in places. It has many tight corners, but it is also wide enough in other places. It has an enormous straight that is over 1.5-miles long. Keep reading for our Azerbaijan GP preview and our expert’s Formula One betting picks for Baku on Sunday afternoon.
The race could fall to either a Red Bull or Ferrari. However, Ferrari’s Carlos Sainz is yet to win a race and Red Bull’s Sergio Perez only scores when picking up the pieces of a calamitous race.
Azerbaijan Grand Prix Betting Odds – Race Winner (Best Odds)
- 5/4 Max Verstappen (SpreadEx)
- 2/1 Charles Leclerc (Betfred)
- 6/1 Sergio Perez (generally)
- 14/1 Carlos Sainz (Betfair exchange)
- 25/1 George Russell (Betfair sportsbook)
- 30/1 Lewis Hamilton (Betfair sportsbook)
- 125/1 Lando Norris (Betfair sportsbook)
- 175/1 bar
Who Will Get Their Set-Up Right?
So, this should be a Max Verstappen vs Charles Leclerc showdown once again.
Who wins probably depends on car set-up. Verstappen’s car will love the fast features of this track, Leclerc’s Ferrari will corner like it is on rails and accelerate out of corners better than any other.
That said, it is 1/6 about a Safety Car being called into action. As we know, it could massively hinder and enormously benefit any driver depending on when they took or when they need to take a pitstop. There is nothing like a safety car to shuffle a Formula 1 pack.
Safety in Numbers
But we have identified two better priced Formula 1 bets that could put you in clover. Last year 18 cars finished this race. On Sunday you can back ‘Over 17.5 Classified Finishers’ at odds of 11/8. It is tempting but over 16.5 race finishers is a better bet.
17 cars were classified in Monaco a fortnight ago and finishing numbers have been high throughout 2022. With fine weather predicted, we think 16.5-plus cars can finish Sunday’s race for the third time in six years. Best odds of 5/6 is available with Betfair about this outcome.
Formula One Betting Picks for Baku
16.5-plus race finishers 5/6 at Betfair Sportsbook
Over 16.5 Classified Race Finishers in Baku – 5/6 at Betfair Sportsbook
Under Five Bet Alive
But the standout F1 bet this week is in the Winning Margin betting market. Historically it has been low here. In fact, all of the last four races were won by under four seconds … and this race has only been staged five times!
Tasty odds of 5/4 is available about a winning margin of ‘Under 5-seconds’. Monaco, Miami and Saudi Arabia are three races – from the last six – that were all won by under five-seconds.
A late safety car – anytime in the last ten laps – should assure a narrow margin of victory. And just a reminder that the safety car appearing is rated at odds of just 1/6 to be needed on Sunday.
Formula One Betting Picks for Baku
Under 5-seconds winning margin 5/4 William Hill
Winning Margin of Under 5 Seconds – 5/4 at William Hill
* Baku F1 odds correct at the time of writing. All betting odds are subject to fluctuations.
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