Good evening all, the first quarter of the season has been and gone and I closed it off with 3 out of 3 last week, first clean sweep for a while, hopefully something I’ll be able to keep going as we move into the next phase of the season.
I’ll be editing this post later, but family called and I’m having to do this on the go at the moment.
Spread
There’s a lot of big spreads this week although a few have been snipped in, the Bengals for example opened at 14, now into 11.5. The Colts and Browns is now televised in the UK and is the closest game you’re going to find this weekend. The Colts a 1 point road dog at the moment, I’m staying away from that one though.
The spread I’ll be putting up for the column though is the Texans -5.5 hosting the Jaguars. It’s not often you’ll find an 0-4 team as a 5.5 point favourite but the Texans have had an historically tough start to the season so it’s not the biggest shock in the world to find them winless in week 5. They removed their head coach this week and reports seem to be that JJ Watt led a bit of a player revolt as they weren’t happy with the way he did things. While I don’t think it’s a coaching upgrade they should get a bounce tonight. It turns out the Jaguars are who we thought they were, a 4.5 win team. They won that opener but have since lost to the Dolphins, Bengals and Titans. They’re not bad on offense, but the defense has been poor.
Houston Texans -5.5 – 10/11 everywhere.
The totals have been going over most weeks but they’re getting higher as well, there’s still a few I think will go over but there’s a bit too much doubt for me in most of the games this week.
Player prop
I try to stay away from games involving my Bengals, but at the same time I know more about them than any team in the league, so I figure I should know who is doing what in this offense. AJ Green looks a shadow of his former self, he is still getting the main coverage from opposing teams but isn’t getting separation and doesn’t seem to make catches at the moment. Him being out there does help other players though, Tyler Boyd being the main beneficiary so far this season with at least 72 yards in each of the last 3 games, so I’m happy to take o60.5 receiving yards on him in this one. He typically does fairly well against the Ravens and the Bengals have been putting up points with regularity, something they’ll have to do to keep this game interesting.
Tyler Boyd o60.5 receiving yards.
TD Scorer
I was tempted to go back in on Mark Andrews this week, he’s plus money to score again. Darius Slayton another consideration for the Giants, they’ve only thrown 2 TDs all year though, so it’s not something I want to post on here (I have actually got 20s on 2 or more for him against a terrible Cowboys defense) but I think for this column I’ll be looking at Eric Ebron for the Steelers. He found a connection with Big Ben in their last game with a score against the Texans and coming off an enforced bye week they should be fresh and prepared against an Eagles team who have struggled against the tight end, George Kittle had 15 receptions last week against them. 15! The Steelers should get some good field position as their pass rush will kill the Eagles offensive line.
Eric Ebron anytime best priced 9/4 (888)
Summary
- Texans -5.5 – 10/11 (most)
- Tyler Boyd o60.5 rec. yards – 5/6 (skybet/365)
- Eric Ebron anytme TD – 9/4 (888)
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