Well football returned with a bang last week didn’t it, some big shocks with the Bears, Seahawks and Steelers all winning as nearly a TD underdogs, while some teams scraped through, there weren’t many favorites who managed to cover the spread. The joy of betting on the NFL…
This column did have a profitable week though thanks to the props, in all honesty I didn’t know the 49ers game would be played underwater so I’m calling a mulligan on that pick… but Michael Carter flew over his yardage, he had 40 rec. yards on 7 receptions which shows how strong Flacco’s arm is now, and AJ Dizzle is my boy for the year, he ran in the only score the Packers had while leading the team in rec yards and rush attempts, I don’t want to tip him up again today, but he’ll score again, so maybe I should.
On to Week 2!
Best Spread;
Indianapolis Colts @ Jacksonville Jaguars
It’s actually a very tough week for spreads, there’s some big difference in teams once more and I struggle to take anyone around 7 points covering a game, especially after last weeks games, so I’m plumping for the Colts covering 2.5 points on the road in Jacksonville, this line is 3 in places, but there is a -2.5 at 3/4 odds with 888 so make sure you shop around and get it under 3…
The Colts are dealing with injuries to their pass-catchers with Michael Pittman and Alec Pierce both missing out, but they are run first and have the best RB in the league so they’ll just lean on him and short passes to Nyheim Hines and Parris Campbell, that should be enough to beat a Jags team who still haven’t got it together. I’ve said it since last year the Trevor Lawrence doesn’t look good in this league, he got a pass for it last year due to the coaching, but the opener showed the same issues of inaccuracy and the Colts defense will look to capitalise on that in this one.
It’s been 8 years since the Colts won on the road against the Jags, but Reich is 4-0 after losing the first game of the season. The Colts are the better team so I’ll take them at under a field goal.
Best Total;
UNDER 40; Patriots @ Steelers
Should you take under 40 points in a game? Maybe not, but the Steelers offense was dismal last week while their defense stepped up against the Bengals, they will be without TJ Watt which is a big loss but the secondary is all healthy and will be ready to go.
The Patriots offense was quite poor as well against an admittedly good Dolphins defense but the one they’re facing tonight is better in my opinion and with Mac Jones complaining about back spasms last week I can’t see them putting up many points here.
It’s a low total, but I’m still leaning under on it.
Best TD Scorer;
As I said above, I should probably just go for AJ Dillon again, apparently there’s a 13/9 available, whatever the hell that is, but I’ll say the 13/10 on Bet365 as the price given on here – He’s not the official pick anyway, but anything over Evens seems generous for him in my opinion.
The official pick of the week to score a TD will be Ja’Marr Chase – 19/20 (Will Hill) give me around Evens in a game I think the Bengals bounce back in, he scored 1 last week and should have had 2 but they didn’t review the call, he’s obviously the favoured target of Joe Burrow and I think he’ll have his way with Trevon Diggs to become the second quickest player to reach 1,500 yards and 15 TDs in NFL history (ahead of Randy Moss)
Best Prop;
Feeling the pressure with this pick this week after such an easy winner in week 1, and I was going to stick with the Indy game where I think Nyheim Hines will go over his receiving yards prop, but it’s got a little high now at 30 so I’ll leave that one. I am however all about the pass-catching running backs this week so I’ll look to Denver where Javonte Williams had 65 yards on 11 receptions last week, a role that the coaching staff have said will stick. So I’ll take him o23.5 rec. yards at most places, actually, scratch that I’ll take o3.5 receptions at 5/4 with WillHill.
Good luck if you’re betting in Week 2, let’s enjoy some football #WhoDey
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