Liverpool v Man City: 7/4 City the Value Bet

Betting tip published on 25 Jan 2012 from Select a Bet


Liverpool v Man City

Carling Cup Semi Final 2nd Leg ( Agg. 1-0)

Live on Sky Sports. Kick off 7.45pm

Kenny Dalglish didn’t miss his players when he took a swipe at their performance in Saturday’s 3-1 defeat at Bolton but will he get the desired response tonight that will see them through to a Carling Cup final place against Cardiff?

The Reds lead 1-0 from the first leg but their home form this season must be a concern going into a game with a top-of-the-table City side who will be in high spirits after a last-minute win over title contenders Spurs at the weekend.

Liverpool have won just 4 home league games this season from 11. Having said that, they remain unbeaten at home with the other 7 being drawn; a result that would suit them this evening.

The return of Steven Gerrard to the Liverpool side hasn’t exactly sparked them into life and scoring goals still seems to be a big problem, especially with the misfiring Andy Carroll still looking as sharp as a deflated balloon.

You’d have to expect City to give it a go and being just one game away from Wembley I can see Mancini going for it. If the first goal goes to City we’ll have a real game on our hands. Bet365 go 11/10 on City striking first and that has to be worth a look as they seek to get back into the tie.

The way things are going for City at the moment they look most likely to progress. They’re simply a better team than Liverpool at the moment and William Hill’s 7/4 on them winning in the 90 minutes looks too good to ignore. Remember the away goals rule only applies AFTER extra time so any kind of 1-goal win for City takes the tie to extra-time. Should City be a goal up towards the end of the game then it might be a case that both sides will settle for the additional 30 minutes – I certainly wouldn’t want to be any kind of bet that relied on Liverpool chasing it at that stage when extra-time is looming.

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