Bundesliga 1: Mainz vs Augsburg



FC Augsburg didnt win a game this season so far. They drew 4 times and lost also 4 times. In my opinion they belong the 4 teams who will have a lot of problems holding the class this year. the other 3 are Kaiserslautern, Freiburg and also MAINZ which leads me to this pick. Mainz did win 2 games( first two games of the season) and then stopped winnng. They drew twice and lost 4 times. At the moment they just cant replace Schürle, Holtby and Fuchs who left the team last season. They got 18 goals against them (2nd highest of the league) and they don't play good at home (1:0:3) by 5:10 goals. The chances that Augsburg will steal 3 points of Mainz are about 30-35% in my opinion so there is value in this pick by taking odds of 5,5(~18%).

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